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Ischia Solutions August 2014 Open House

Friday, August 1, 2014 until Friday, August 15, 2014  |   Posted by Ischia Solutions Limited

Reserve Estimation Unconventionals Houston 2014

Monday, August 11, 2014 until Thursday, August 14, 2014  |   Posted by Hanson Wade

Security Management Training Course

Monday, August 18, 2014 until Wednesday, August 20, 2014  |   Posted by PCS Training Consultant

The 3rd Annual Frac Sand Supply & Logistics Conference

Wednesday, August 20, 2014 until Friday, August 22, 2014  |   Posted by The Petroleum Connection

Oil and Gas Offshore Support Vessels Summit

Monday, August 25, 2014 until Wednesday, August 27, 2014  |   Posted by IQPC

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Monday, September 1, 2014 until Wednesday, September 3, 2014  |   Posted by Glopac Pacific & Partners

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Ground Disturbance 11

Friday, August 1, 2014 until Friday, August 1, 2014  |   Posted by Allstar Enviro Safety

Coker Process, Design, and Troubleshooting Training in Lausanne Switzerland

Tuesday, August 5, 2014 until Wednesday, August 6, 2014  |   Posted by The Refining Community

Fundamentals Of Oil & Gas Drilling

Wednesday, August 6, 2014 until Friday, August 8, 2014  |   Posted by PetroPlanners Global

Bioenergy School: Feedstocks & Conversion Technologies (2 Modules)

Monday, August 18, 2014 until Friday, August 22, 2014  |   Posted by Green Power Academy

The 4 Day MBA in Oil and Gas in Kuala Lumpur

Monday, August 25, 2014 until Friday, August 29, 2014  |   Posted by Warren Business Consulting

Effective Materials Management

Monday, August 25, 2014 until Friday, August 29, 2014  |   Posted by Tabor Energy Solutions

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Opinion & Commentary

Oil price, Shell, Andes Energia, Savannah, Range Resources, MX Oil, Sundry and finally...

Friday, August 1, 2014

Oil price Last night saw Wall Street finally have a fit of the vapours although losing 300 points from up here is hardly more than the smallest of corrections. Labour data this afternoon may confirm the bearish stance, consensus is for growth of 231/- in non-farm payrolls but as ever its all in the revisions, as I said yesterday gasoline isn't flying off the shelves, so to speak. The WSJ has an interesting article and has been persistently following the crude export story, yesterday saw a shipment from Texas of condensate which isn't counted as crude oil… My old friend Dan 'The Prize' Yergin, who h... Read more

July 31 an amusing day for overpriced oil

Friday, August 1, 2014

Suddenly There Is Ample Supply Newswires and energy sites on the Internet desperately sought rational explanations of why oil could not only flirt with the '100 dollar benchmark' but (OMG!) fall well below it in just a few days of so-called 'hectic trading'. We can now await the pro domo explanation from Goldman Sachs telling us this is only a 'temporary downward blip'. Keep calm and carry on. The natural price is well above $100 a barrel. Of course. The Ukraine situation is still mostly used as a secondary and supporting rational for the 'collapse' of oil prices - in any case the run-up ... Read more

World oil production at 3/31/2014 - where are we headed?

Wednesday, July 30, 2014

The standard way to make forecasts of almost anything is to look at recent trends and assume that this trend will continue, at least for the next several years. With world oil production, the trend in oil production looks fairly benign, with the trend slightly upward (Figure 1). Figure 1. Quarterly crude and condensate oil production, based on EIA data. If we look at the situation more closely, however, we see that we are dealing with an unstable situation. The top ten crude oil producing countries have a variety of problems (Figure 2). Middle Eastern producers are particularly at risk of instability, thanks to the adva... Read more

Tech Talk - Changes in global supply and demand

Monday, July 28, 2014

At the beginning of the month I pointed out that there are three components to the coming Energy Mess. The first of these is the steady increase in global demand for oil and its products, the second is the decline in production from existing wells and fields, and the third is the shrinking pool of places from which new oil can be recovered to make up the difference between the first two. Internal demand gnaws away at that available for export, as the situation in Saudi Arabia clearly illustrates: Figure 1. Changing relation between Saudi production, internal demand and thus available exports. (Energy Export Databrowse... Read more

What ails the North Sea?

Monday, July 28, 2014

There is a need to act before the North Sea ‘fails’ economically Despite continuing high oil prices, the mature UKCS and NOCS producing provinces continue to be challenged by poor economic returns, and companies are clearly hesitating over investing there. In part this is due to exponentiating costs – as some would assert, the expropriation of cash flow by oil field service companies - and project delays. These are topics for “another day”! In part it is due to the failure of oil & gas companies to establish a significant enough reserves base, by a combination of: Exploration for new field... Read more

Why doesn't the 'long emergency' feel like an emergency?

Monday, July 28, 2014

In 2006 when James Howard Kunstler published his breakthrough book The Long Emergency, the next two years seemed to vindicate his warning that the oil age was coming to an end with perilous consequences. Oil soared to $147 a barrel in mid-2008. A few analysts suggested that it was headed for $200; but that was not to be. By autumn the stock market had collapsed and with it the world economy. Oil, too, then collapsed, trading in the mid-$30 range by December as demand for oil fell off a cliff with the economy. It seemed for months that the world was headed for an economic depression. But extraordinary stimulative spendin... Read more

Oil and cash flow: the Kurds' conundrum

Friday, July 25, 2014

Some ten days ago, the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) were reported to have sent Peshmerga units into the Bai Hassan and Kirkuk oil fields - formerly under the control of the North Oil Company (NOC) - and both of which are in areas of disputed territory. The KRG subsequently told NOC's workers they had a choice: either work for the KRG, or leave. The reason that the fields have been taken is pretty obvious - the KRG needs revenue and the only way to generate the right amount of homegrown cash is by selling oil. The two fields now under control of the Peshmerga can - in theory - add some 500K bpd to the KRG'... Read more

Marginal field development in the UKCS using innovative low cost solutions

Friday, July 25, 2014

Forty years ago the United Kingdom Continental Shelf (UKCS) boasted a small number of very large oilfields discovered by major operators. Now, as a mature offshore basin, the average discovery size has shrunk to a fraction of what it once was with small and medium independent companies dominating the region. Oil and Gas UK estimate that 42 billion barrels of oil equivalent (boe) have already been produced from the UKCS and a further 12 to 21 billion boe could yet be recovered 1. Many studies show that these resources are likely to be increasingly smaller accumulations which are technically challenging and economically marg... Read more

Oil price, Nabors, Tullow, Chariot and finally...

Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Oil price The WTI price above is a bit spurious as the expiry now means that September WTI is trading at $102.01 and the differential is not quite as low as it seems from the above. With confirmed documentation as mentioned yesterday, that non-professional investors have taken another 25% off the table and I expect more at the end of this week the market looked at the inventory stats from the API yesterday. At 550/- draw in crude was much less than forecast and way down from last weeks numbers so lets see what the EIA do tonight. In the API numbers there was a big build in gasoline and distillate stocks of 3.6m barrels a... Read more

The debt double standard for Canadian vs American energy producers

Tuesday, July 22, 2014

The 49th parallel isn’t just a border between Canada and the United States. It also represents an important line for the amount of debt investors are willing to tolerate in their energy producers. Investors and CEOs have both learned the hard way. Canadian producers with more than 2X debt to cash flow–sometimes even 1.5:1–get no love from the stock market. Typical conservative Canadian investors–they have almost no tolerance for debt. South of the border, energy producers can carry big debt relative to their cash flows and still get high valuations from stock investors. Comparing the recently... Read more

Oil price, Halliburton, Chariot, Sundry and finally...

Tuesday, July 22, 2014

Oil price Oil prices were resilient yesterday but WTI got the better of Brent and you can see that the differential is down to just over three bucks. This is partly because the inventory stats tonight are expected to show another draw and partly as the contract expires today leaving the existing contract trading on thin volume. Brent was also quite strong, traders report that three times during the day it fell below the crucial $107 level and each time it rallied. Most important though was the news that I had been waiting for and expecting, the figures report that by the end of last week the amount of speculative money i... Read more

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